To find what
your expenses in retirement will be, look at the expenses you have
now.
Some expenses in
retirement will be lower than now. Taxes should go down. Income
taxes are usually lower for retirees, and retirees no longer pay
Social Security taxes. Contributions to savings and investments
usually decrease, since retirees may no longer need to contribute to
pension plans or save for retirement. As loans and mortgages are
paid up, out-of-pocket housing costs may decrease. Work-related
expenses are also likely to decrease, such as dues, transportation
to work, work clothes, and lunches.
Some expenses
will probably stay the same but may take up a larger share of your
income. Utilities, food, gifts and contributions, and car and
property insurance costs will stay fairly constant.
Other expenses
will increase once you retire. Health care and health insurance
expenses will likely increase because retirees may pay for all their
own health care insurance until they are 65 and then buy insurance
to supplement Medicare gaps after 65. Costs for leisure and
entertainment are also likely to increase, since retirees have more
leisure time. And if you want to travel, these expenses will take a
bigger share of your budget.
Unfortunately,
prices won't stay the same from now until you retire. Although
inflation has been low in recent years, the cumulative effect of a
low inflation rate over many years can devastate a retirement
budget.
In order for you
to anticipate accurately what your retirement expenses will be, you
need to predict what inflation will be. You also need to know how
long it will be before you retire.
You may want to
choose one general rate to adjust your total retirement expenses.
Or, you may want to use different rates for different categories.
For example, over the past several years, medical and housing prices
have risen faster than food and clothing prices. Overall, however,
prices have increased about 3 percent per year for the past several
years. Note, however, that the average increase in the Consumer
Price Index (CPI) for the past 30 years has been 5.4
percent.
Instructions for
projecting retirement expenses:
- Choose the number of years until your
retirement starts from the column on the left (subtract your age
now from the age at which you plan to retire).
- Select
an inflation rate from the row across the top. Inflation cannot be
predicted from year to year.
- Read across
and down to find the appropriate inflation factor corresponding to
your predicted rate of inflation. (Example:10 years and 6%
inflation gives a factor of 1.79.)
Your exact
future value of investments will depend on the timing of interest
payments and investment earnings. However, estimates figured are a
good start toward knowing where you stand in your financial
preparations for retirement. Use the following instructions to do
these calculations:
Instructions for
estimating the future value of a nest egg:
- Choose
the number of years until retirement or until you plan to begin
using the money.
- Choose
the average rate of return you expect to earn on this
investment.
- Read
across to find the factor that corresponds with the number of
years and the rate of return. (Example: a 10% return for 10 years
gives you a factor of 2.59.)
- Multiply the factor you have
chosen times the current dollar value of your nest egg. The result
is the estimated value of this investment at your expected return
at the time you anticipate needing the nest egg. ($50,000 X 2.59 =
$129,500)
- If you wish
to continue adding to your nest egg, continue reading to find a
way to estimate the future value of additional savings and
investments added on a yearly or monthly basis.
After comparing
projected expenses to projected retirement income, you may discover
a need to add to your nest egg. You can calculate the necessary
additional yearly savings by using this information:
- Determine the
total lump sum you wish to accumulate by retirement age.
- Subtract from that amount the
projected future value of your current nest egg. This gives you
the shortfall you need to make up.
- Multiply the
amount of the shortfall by the factor that corresponds with your
time frame and expected investment return by the dollar amount of
the shortfall. This gives you an annual savings contribution
needed to reach your target retirement nest egg.
Now, project what your
expenses will be in retirement. First list how much you now spend.
Next, figure how much you would spend if you were to retire
tomorrow. Would it be more, less, or the same amount you are now
spending? Now, using the annual rate of inflation, multiply your
estimated retirement expenses by the inflation adjustment factor. If
you decide to use one rate to adjust all expenses instead of
different rates for different expense categories, you can simply
multiply the total amount by the inflation adjustment
factor.
You may also
want to project your income needs 5, 10, or 15 years into
retirement. An average 65-year-old is likely to live to age 85, or
20 years of retirement. Of course, if you come from a family whose
life spans are well into the nineties, you will want to take this
into consideration as well. If you are in good health and not
involved in any hazardous activity, you may live well beyond the
average man or woman, and you would want to plan for those
years.